According to U.S. Cable News Network reports, retailers such as Walmart and Nordstrom in the U.S. will continue this year, and involve complex reasons.

Walmart is scheduled to close about 20 stores and Nordstrom will close 15 stores. The pharmacy chain CVS announced in 2021 plans to close 900 stores within three years. According to RBC reports, between 40,000 and 50,000 retail stores will be closed in the United States over the next five years.

特斯拉CEO埃隆·馬斯克最近預(yù)測(cè)，未來12個(gè)月宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)將艱難，"很多公司"將面臨破產(chǎn)。

Government officials, including the mayor of New York, pointed out that the rise in retail theft cases was the main reason for the large number of shut-offs in merchants. For example, when Walgreen closed five stores in San Francisco in 2021, he mentioned the impact of the frequency of theft. A U.S. Retail Federation survey of approximately 60 retail member companies showed that the frequency of theft has become one of the factors causing the biggest losses to these retailers in recent years.

However, some analysts believe that the trend has been ongoing for years and is not closely linked to crime rates, and the supply and demand relationship is the key factor.

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, between 2019 and 2021, the number of people who work at home has grown from 9 million to 27.6 million, which has impacted many shopping malls, especially in the city center, as working people are the main customers of these shopping malls. Stanford University research shows that average U.S. working people now spend $2,000 to $4,600 per person per year in the city center.

In addition, online shopping continues to put pressure on physical retail. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, online retail sales accounted for 14.7 percent of total U.S. retail sales in the fourth quarter last year, with clothing, accessories, healthcare and electronics most affected by online purchases.

High human costs and store rentals also put a lot of pressure on retailers.According to data from High Latitude Real Estate Company, the average rental level for stores in San Francisco in the first quarter of this year has reached $43 per square foot (approximately RMB 3,200 per square meter).JPMorgan’s research found that the number of retail stores in San Francisco has decreased by 6% between 2019 and 2021.

在周二的特斯拉股東大會(huì)上，埃隆·馬斯克表示，他預(yù)計(jì)全球經(jīng)濟(jì)將面臨"困難的一年"，"很多公司"將面臨破產(chǎn)。盡管計(jì)劃推出兩款新產(chǎn)品，但他表示特斯拉也無法避免受到經(jīng)濟(jì)下滑的影響。

馬斯克預(yù)測(cè)，至少在未來12個(gè)月里，宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)將非常艱難。他說："我認(rèn)為我們會(huì)看到很多公司破產(chǎn)。重要的是要明白，沒有一家公司能免受宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境的影響。"

馬斯克補(bǔ)充道："但前景不會(huì)永遠(yuǎn)是黑暗的。我預(yù)計(jì)，對(duì)全球每個(gè)人來說，這可能是困難的一年。然后我的最佳猜測(cè)是，全球經(jīng)濟(jì)將在大約12個(gè)月內(nèi)出現(xiàn)轉(zhuǎn)機(jī)。"他相信特斯拉將處于非常有利的位置，因此認(rèn)為任何長期投資者都會(huì)取得很好的效果。

馬斯克此次對(duì)全球經(jīng)濟(jì)狀況發(fā)出警告并不是第一次。上個(gè)月，他在推特上警告稱，美國經(jīng)濟(jì)已經(jīng)處于"溫和衰退"，而美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)進(jìn)一步加息將引發(fā)"嚴(yán)重衰退"。